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The 82nd Academy Awards: Who Will Win, Who Should Win, and Why ?
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Yep, it's that time of year again: time to see who'll top the worst-dressed list, who'll deliver the sappiest acceptance speech, and just how many trophies
The Hurt Locker will take home. But, there's a big difference between who'll win and who should.
Don't forget to tune in to the 82nd Annual Academy Awards, airing on Sunday on 'ABC'.
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Best Picture***
Nominees:
Avatar,
The Blind Side,
District 9,
An Education,
The Hurt Locker,
Inglourious Basterds,
Precious,
A Serious Man,
Up,
Up in the Air***
Who Will Win:
The Hurt Locker***
Who Should Win:
Inglourious Basterds***
Why: Only three films have a legitimate chance of winning Best Picture:
Avatar,
The Hurt Locker, and
Inglourious Basterds. But because
Avatar’s mastermind,
James Cameron, and
Inglourious Basterds' writer/director,
Quentin Tarantino, and distributor
Harvey Weinstein are all hated by hordes of Academy voters, the
Kathryn Bigelow-directed war drama will take home the evening’s top prize.
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Best Director***
Nominees:
James Cameron (
Avatar),
Kathryn Bigelow (
The Hurt Locker),
Quentin Tarantino (
Inglourious Basterds),
Lee Daniels (
Precious),
Jason Reitman (
Up in the Air)***
Who Will Win:
Kathryn Bigelow***
Who Should Win:
Kathryn Bigelow***
Why:
Bigelow’s meticulous and mesmerizing work, accompanied by her
Directors Guild victory, will result in history being made as the Academy finally honors its first-ever female
Best Director winner.
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Best Actress***
Nominees:
Sandra Bullock (
The Blind Side),
Helen Mirren (
The Last Station),
Carey Mulligan (
An Education),
Gabourey Sidibe (
Precious),
Meryl Streep (
Julie & Julia)***
Who Will Win:
Sandra Bullock***
Who Should Win:
Carey Mulligan***
Why: Newbies
Carey Mulligan and
Gabourey Sidibe would both have had a great shot at taking home gold had they been nominated in different years; but they weren’t, and as a result, they’ll cancel each other out.
Helen Mirren, on the other hand, never had a shot. She got her trophy a few years ago for her role in
The Queen. Oh, and nobody saw
The Last Station. So, we’re down to first-time nominee
Sandra Bullock and sixteen-time nominee and two-time winner
Meryl Streep. In the closest race of the evening,
Sandra will edge out
Meryl for two reasons: she’ll probably never receive another nom, and
Meryl will be back in the mix again next year.
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Best Actor***
Nominees:
Jeff Bridges (
Crazy Heart),
George Clooney (
Up in the Air),
Colin Firth (
A Single Man),
Morgan Freeman (
Invictus),
Jeremy Renner (
The Hurt Locker)***
Who Will Win:
Jeff Bridges***
Who Should Win:
Colin Firth***
Why: Despite
Firth's heartbreaking performance and
Clooney’s award-worthy work,
Bridges will have to make room on his crowded mantle for his very first
Oscar. Voters love him; he’s won every major award leading up to Sunday; and with four previous noms, everyone feels that it’s simply his turn to take home the trophy.
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Best Supporting Actress***
Nominees:
Penelope Cruz (
Nine),
Vera Farmiga (
Up in the Air),
Maggie Gyllenhaal (
Crazy Heart),
Anna Kendrick (
Up in the Air),
Mo’Nique (
Precious)***
Who Will Win:
Mo’Nique***
Who Should Win:
Mo’Nique***
Why: With
Vera Farmiga and
Anna Kendrick splitting the vote and
Penelope Cruz out of contention, it comes down to first-time nominee
Maggie Gyllenhaal and fellow newcomer
Mo'Nique. While a few critics think
Mo’Nique’s polarizing personality could hurt her chances coming down the home stretch, there's really no doubt in my mind that she’ll emerge victorious and deliver a mag'nifique acceptance speech come Sunday.
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Best Supporting Actor***
Nominees:
Matt Damon (
Invictus),
Woody Harrelson (
The Messenger),
Christopher Plummer (
The Last Station),
Stanley Tucci (
The Lovely Bones),
Christoph Waltz (
Inglourious Basterds)***
Who Will Win:
Christoph Waltz***
Who Should Win:
Christoph Waltz***
Why: Let's be honest:
Christoph Waltz gave one of the best supporting performances in recent memory. And with minimal competition from his fellow nominees, the 53-year-old Austrian actor will easily waltz away with his first, much-deserved
Oscar.
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Best Original Screenplay***
Nominees:
The Hurt Locker (
Mark Boal),
Inglourious Basterds (
Quentin Tarantino),
The Messenger (
Alessandro Camon and
Oren Moverman),
A Serious Man (
Joel Coen and
Ethan Coen),
Up (
Bob Peterson and
Pete Docter)***
Who Will Win:
The Hurt Locker***
Who Should Win:
Inglourious Basterds***
Why:
Inglourious Basterds could give
The Hurt Locker a run for its money, but
Mark Boal will triumph over
Quentin Tarantino and the equally deserving
Coen brothers.
Best Picture nominee
Up doesn’t have a shot; and
The Messenger’s nomination was a victory in and of itself.
**************************************************
Best Adapted Screenplay***
Nominees:
District 9 (
Neill Blomkamp and
Terri Tatchell),
An Education (
Nick Hornby),
In the Loop (
Jesse Armstrong,
Simon Blackwell,
Armando Iannucci,
Tony Roche),
Precious (
Geoffrey Fletcher),
Up in the Air (
Jason Reitman and
Sheldon Turner)***
Who Will Win:
Up in the Air***
Who Should Win:
An Education***
Why: In an effort to prevent
Up in the Air from being shut out on
Oscar night (which could very well happen), Academy voters will likely award
Jason Reitman and
Sheldon Turner for their timely script … unless they hand they statue to
Nick Hornby, prohibiting
An Education from also going home empty-handed.
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Best Animated Feature***
Nominees:
Coraline,
Fantastic Mr. Fox,
The Princess and the Frog,
The Secret of Kells,
Up***
Who Will Win:
Up***
Who Should Win:
Fantastic Mr. Fox***
Why: Not only is
Up a fan favorite, a critical darling, and a box-office behemoth, it’s also only the second animated film in history to be up for
Best Picture. As a result, it’s guaranteed to topple the four other films, giving 'Pixar' its third consecutive win in the category, following in the footsteps of
WALL-E and
Ratatouille.
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Best Documentary Feature***
Nominees:
Burma VJ;
The Cove;
Food, Inc.;
The Most Dangerous Man in America;
Which Way Home***
Who Will Win:
The Cove***
Who Should Win:
Food, Inc.***
Why: Despite the fact that
Food, Inc. was the most fascinating film of 2009, bet on
The Cove to bag the
Oscar. The tragic dolphin-hunting doc has swept the pre-
Oscar soirees, and its producers have been campaigning harder than just about everyone in Hollywood, except for
Harvey Weinstein and that guy who tried to trash
Avatar’s
Best Picture chances.
**************************************************
Yep, it's that time of year again: time to see who'll top the worst-dressed list, who'll deliver the sappiest acceptance speech, and just how many trophies The Hurt Locker will take home. But, there's a big difference between who'll win and who should.
Don't forget to tune in to the 82nd Annual Academy Awards, airing on Sunday on 'ABC'.
**************************************************
Best Picture***
Nominees: Avatar, The Blind Side, District 9, An Education, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds, Precious, A Serious Man, Up, Up in the Air***
Who Will Win: The Hurt Locker***
Who Should Win: Inglourious Basterds***
Why: Only three films have a legitimate chance of winning Best Picture: Avatar, The Hurt Locker, and Inglourious Basterds. But because Avatar’s mastermind, James Cameron, and Inglourious Basterds' writer/director, Quentin Tarantino, and distributor Harvey Weinstein are all hated by hordes of Academy voters, the Kathryn Bigelow-directed war drama will take home the evening’s top prize.
**************************************************
Best Director***
Nominees: James Cameron (Avatar), Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker), Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds), Lee Daniels (Precious), Jason Reitman (Up in the Air)***
Who Will Win: Kathryn Bigelow***
Who Should Win: Kathryn Bigelow***
Why: Bigelow’s meticulous and mesmerizing work, accompanied by her Directors Guild victory, will result in history being made as the Academy finally honors its first-ever female Best Director winner.
**************************************************
Best Actress***
Nominees: Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side), Helen Mirren (The Last Station), Carey Mulligan (An Education), Gabourey Sidibe (Precious), Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia)***
Who Will Win: Sandra Bullock***
Who Should Win: Carey Mulligan***
Why: Newbies Carey Mulligan and Gabourey Sidibe would both have had a great shot at taking home gold had they been nominated in different years; but they weren’t, and as a result, they’ll cancel each other out. Helen Mirren, on the other hand, never had a shot. She got her trophy a few years ago for her role in The Queen. Oh, and nobody saw The Last Station. So, we’re down to first-time nominee Sandra Bullock and sixteen-time nominee and two-time winner Meryl Streep. In the closest race of the evening, Sandra will edge out Meryl for two reasons: she’ll probably never receive another nom, and Meryl will be back in the mix again next year.
**************************************************
Best Actor***
Nominees: Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart), George Clooney (Up in the Air), Colin Firth (A Single Man), Morgan Freeman (Invictus), Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)***
Who Will Win: Jeff Bridges***
Who Should Win: Colin Firth***
Why: Despite Firth's heartbreaking performance and Clooney’s award-worthy work, Bridges will have to make room on his crowded mantle for his very first Oscar. Voters love him; he’s won every major award leading up to Sunday; and with four previous noms, everyone feels that it’s simply his turn to take home the trophy.
**************************************************
Best Supporting Actress***
Nominees: Penelope Cruz (Nine), Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air), Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart), Anna Kendrick (Up in the Air), Mo’Nique (Precious)***
Who Will Win: Mo’Nique***
Who Should Win: Mo’Nique***
Why: With Vera Farmiga and Anna Kendrick splitting the vote and Penelope Cruz out of contention, it comes down to first-time nominee Maggie Gyllenhaal and fellow newcomer Mo'Nique. While a few critics think Mo’Nique’s polarizing personality could hurt her chances coming down the home stretch, there's really no doubt in my mind that she’ll emerge victorious and deliver a mag'nifique acceptance speech come Sunday.
**************************************************
Best Supporting Actor***
Nominees: Matt Damon (Invictus), Woody Harrelson (The Messenger), Christopher Plummer (The Last Station), Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones), Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)***
Who Will Win: Christoph Waltz***
Who Should Win: Christoph Waltz***
Why: Let's be honest: Christoph Waltz gave one of the best supporting performances in recent memory. And with minimal competition from his fellow nominees, the 53-year-old Austrian actor will easily waltz away with his first, much-deserved Oscar.
**************************************************
Best Original Screenplay***
Nominees: The Hurt Locker (Mark Boal), Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino), The Messenger (Alessandro Camon and Oren Moverman), A Serious Man (Joel Coen and Ethan Coen), Up (Bob Peterson and Pete Docter)***
Who Will Win: The Hurt Locker***
Who Should Win: Inglourious Basterds***
Why: Inglourious Basterds could give The Hurt Locker a run for its money, but Mark Boal will triumph over Quentin Tarantino and the equally deserving Coen brothers. Best Picture nominee Up doesn’t have a shot; and The Messenger’s nomination was a victory in and of itself.
**************************************************
Best Adapted Screenplay***
Nominees: District 9 (Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell), An Education (Nick Hornby), In the Loop (Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche), Precious (Geoffrey Fletcher), Up in the Air (Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner)***
Who Will Win: Up in the Air***
Who Should Win: An Education***
Why: In an effort to prevent Up in the Air from being shut out on Oscar night (which could very well happen), Academy voters will likely award Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner for their timely script … unless they hand they statue to Nick Hornby, prohibiting An Education from also going home empty-handed.
**************************************************
Best Animated Feature***
Nominees: Coraline, Fantastic Mr. Fox, The Princess and the Frog, The Secret of Kells, Up***
Who Will Win: Up***
Who Should Win: Fantastic Mr. Fox***
Why: Not only is Up a fan favorite, a critical darling, and a box-office behemoth, it’s also only the second animated film in history to be up for Best Picture. As a result, it’s guaranteed to topple the four other films, giving 'Pixar' its third consecutive win in the category, following in the footsteps of WALL-E and Ratatouille.
**************************************************
Best Documentary Feature***
Nominees: Burma VJ; The Cove; Food, Inc.; The Most Dangerous Man in America; Which Way Home***
Who Will Win: The Cove***
Who Should Win: Food, Inc.***
Why: Despite the fact that Food, Inc. was the most fascinating film of 2009, bet on The Cove to bag the Oscar. The tragic dolphin-hunting doc has swept the pre-Oscar soirees, and its producers have been campaigning harder than just about everyone in Hollywood, except for Harvey Weinstein and that guy who tried to trash Avatar’s Best Picture chances.
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